tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-803565406050693453.post3340137530290024141..comments2023-10-06T08:52:51.137-04:00Comments on Holdem Notebook: What would you do? AA on turn vs. a 77/9matt taghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08082969194551315973noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-803565406050693453.post-12078429008171948062010-09-21T10:42:28.052-04:002010-09-21T10:42:28.052-04:00BTW, never play an over pair slow multi way. On d...BTW, never play an over pair slow multi way. On dry boards, you will get called by other one pair hands and your are protecting your equity against draws. With sets, you can try to get more value with slower lines.<br /><br />If you are heads up, you might CR a flop oop but NEVER multi way.Poker Jnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-803565406050693453.post-27842069675177491252010-09-21T10:39:46.081-04:002010-09-21T10:39:46.081-04:00If you have players with VPIPs over 50 and you are...If you have players with VPIPs over 50 and you are oop to them in a hand, go ahead and raise to something like 5 or 6 bb. This will keep the other week hands from entering after them and you are getting value while you are a head.<br /><br />CR this flop will only get called by sets. You should lead the flop like 3/4. If called by the fish, lead 1/2 to 3/4 on the turn. If called by a reg, you might check for pot control and maybe induce them to bluff with a ch/c, ch/c line.<br /><br />If you are raised on the turn by fish, just call down.<br /><br />If a reg with a low agg factor raises the turn, you might fold and just know it sucks to play oop.Poker Jnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-803565406050693453.post-48901714013947182512010-09-21T10:30:33.334-04:002010-09-21T10:30:33.334-04:00Okay... need a little bit more information here: ...Okay... need a little bit more information here: what are the numbers? VPIP/PFR/??? (MP has an extra set of numbers, so not sure what that's all about), hands...<br /><br />Let's assume that the third number is aggression factor?<br /><br />With AA, I'm absolutely leading this dry flop. Anyone with a King is going to be calling, and I want to charge them for it. Additionally, I *WANT* to thin the field; I prefer not to let MP, SB & BTN draw at their supposed pocket pairs to hit their sets for free... Same goes for the monkeys who are running 70%+ VPIP - I want to make them pay to draw for their potential 2 pair hands. Moreover, IMO, your attempt at a c/r, while noble, will shut down all action when it gets back around to your raise, which is not what you want.<br /><br />On this kind of board, IMO, the only hands that are beating you are flopped sets. We can deduce that no one hit a set of Kings (would have been 3bet PF), which leaves sets of 9's & 5's. That's a very focused range.<br /><br />Additionally, he min raised you... this is not strong or huge. I likely call and check / call the river - given that a 77/9 can have a super wide range which includes turned draws, and all sorts of XXs combinations which don't make sense to a standard player (i.e. K3s, 93s, 53o, etc.), as well as Kx hands who feel that they have played their hands tricky. I'm giving this raise less credit by calling, but not trying to get stacks in with my unimproved AA. The way the pot is set up, you will call the $1.10 raise and there will be $4.40 in the pot. Unless he makes a big overbet, he's not getting stacks in.<br /><br />Finally, I want to point out that your interpretation of Baluga does not really apply here. You did not cbet this flop (it checked through) to establish your hand strength. You essentially gave a free card to all players. Baluga is really an indicator that even though you've represented the strength of your hand, your opponent believes his hand to be stronger.<br /><br />In this case, you've under-repped your strength on the flop. Moreover, this raise is not entirely unexpected and does not necessarily indicate that you are beat, though I'm not certain where you are in the hand.<br /><br />Finally, I hope this is not a "woe is me" type hand - you're going to be good enough times to warrant the calling off against a 77/9 (with the assumption that he's bet like this before). All of the assumptions are predicated on the fact that the HJ spazs frequently, "value betting" his TPNK, as opposed to check / folding most flops and being completely passive in pots that he did not hold a strong hand.The Poker Meisterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18289059101454598371noreply@blogger.com