putting it all together

Full Tilt Poker, $20 + $2 NL Hold'em Sit n' Go, 40/80 Blinds, 7 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BTN: 3,000
SB: 1,175
BB: 2,635
UTG: 1,680
UTG+1: 1,105
MP: 1,510
Hero (CO): 2,395

Pre-Flop: (120) 8 8 dealt to Hero (CO)

3 folds, Hero raises to 240, BTN calls 240, 2 folds
Button has made some strange plays so far, like calling a raise and then a shove-over all-in with 33. she was up against AK and 88 and did not win the hand. I also saw her overplay a medium pair.

Flop: (600) 3 3 7 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 450, Hero calls 450
I check. I have an overpair, but I'm not 100% happy, I've seen her go nuts with pocket pairs twice before now. Still, her aggression is high, and this bet doesn't mean anything. I call to reevaluate.

Turn: (1,500) K (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks
We both check the king. I decide right here if a broadway overcard comes or a spade then I'll probably give up the hand.


River: (1,500) 4 (2 Players)
Hero bets 500,
Well, I think I have the best hand here now, but I'm not sure. I bet 500 as a blocking bet.

BTN raises to 1,000,
The minraise. Ugh. She's just given me 6:1 odds to call, meaning I only have to be right 14% of the time to justify this call. Can I do it, though? What could she have? Did she hit that King and "slowplay" it? If she did, she just let the backdoor flush draw draw for free. Does she have 99, TT, JJ, or QQ? Maybe - but QQ/JJ (and maybe TT or 99, too) reraise preflop (remember, she likes pocket pairs).

I'm having trouble putting her on a hand - I guess the most likely hand is KQ/KJ, and if she has that and checked the turn, then more power to her. If I call and lose, I'll have 705 and basically be done with the tourney. But, my odds are too good to pass up...

Hero calls 500

Results: 3,500 Pot
BTN showed A T (a pair of Threes) and LOST (-1,690 NET)
Hero showed 8 8 (two pair, Eights and Threes) and WON 3,500 (+1,810 NET)

Now I know why I couldn't put her on a hand - she was bluffing!

I can't say in 100% truthfulness that this entire conversation went through my hand as it was being played, but I did figure out "live" that the odds at the end were really good, that she would have played her pocket pairs much faster, and the turn check made it likely enough that she didn't have a king. I suppose I put enough of it together to make a pretty amazing call.

I went on to win this tourney.