Sunday, April 26, 2009

how disciplined are you?

Tourney is 36 hands in - I have played one hand, a Blind vs. Blind battle. My stack is down to 10 BB when I get dealt JJ. Looking to shove over a standard raise, but a problem occurs...

Full Tilt Poker, $20 + $2 NL Hold'em Sit n' Go, 60/120 Blinds, 8 Players - Hand History Converter

MP1: 1,075
MP2: 1,585
CO: 1,480
BTN: 3,380
Hero (SB): 1,140
BB: 1,160
UTG: 1,760
UTG+1: 1,920

Pre-Flop: (180) J J dealt to Hero (SB)

2 folds, MP1 raises to 360,

MP1 is a break-even multitabler. This is the very first hand he has played of the night. (his stats are 0/0). Is JJ good enough? Can you assume this guy is playing nothing but AA/KK/QQ/AK because of a 36 hand sample? Or do you figure you need to go here and pray for AK/AQ (or a best-possible TT)?


Memphis MOJO said...

I think I can outplay them later, so usually fold. (But, hey, I'm a nitty old man.)

Forrest Gump said...

I agree with Mojo. It depends greatly on how you rate your opponents. Also, if you rate the PF raiser as a reasonable player you should put strong emphasis on his eary-ish position when opening and rule out AQ or less.


matt tag said...

you're both correct, but it's awfully hard to fold JJ after getting dealt junk for 34 straight hands and are down to 10 BB in a SNG.


Forrest Gump said...

Awe diddums, 34 hands? Just kidding. ;)

Seriously though, check out my stats for tonight at 25NL:

During current Hold'em session you were dealt 224 hands and saw flop a total of 21 out of 224 (9%)
Pots won at showdown - 0 of 4 (0%)
Pots won without showdown - 7

Normally I'd call it a night before then but i was watching the NBC headsup at the same time. :)

Robert said...

The other issue here is what percent of your bankroll 22 dollars represents. This often determines whether I can stomach it when I push and he turns over the kings.

If I'm not exercising proper bankroll management I may smooth call preflop and then get to see the kings when we get all the chips in on the 4,6,9 flop.

matt tag said...

good thought, but bankroll management is not an issue. I'm probably playing under my bankroll right now with over 100 buy ins for the $22s