Thursday, September 4, 2008

hidden luck

We'll get back to the Mountaineer story later. Played twice last night, bombed out of both - here is an interesting little hand very early in a tourney

Full Tilt Poker Game #7925438210: $30 + $3 Sit & Go (60263826), Table 1 - 15/30 - No Limit Hold'em - 21:52:19 ET - 2008/09/03
Seat 1: montanared (1,485)
Seat 2: dunhillsmoka (1,455)
Seat 3: taglius (1,500)
Seat 4: danmarino1975 (1,470)
Seat 5: hornwriter (1,500)
Seat 6: Gypsum35REM (1,500)
Seat 7: adam55867 (1,500)
Seat 8: SUPER DONK 505 (1,500)
Seat 9: Duckhook (1,590)
danmarino1975 posts the small blind of 15
hornwriter posts the big blind of 30
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to taglius [As Kc]
(4 folds)
montanared raises to 105
dunhillsmoka folds
taglius calls 105
AKo is a hand you can go crazy with, but no need to early in the game and in position. I call.
danmarino1975 folds
hornwriter folds

*** FLOP *** [5s Ac 6c]
montanared bets 150
taglius calls 150
Flop hits me - TPTK. Villain could be c-betting, or have an ace. Either way I'm ahead. Again, I call. (raise here? You don't want to build a big pot wit TPTK, do you?)

*** TURN *** [5s Ac 6c] [Ad]
montanared bets 30
Ok, he's officially worried now with this wimpy bet. My guess is that he has an Ace with kicker problems, or no ace at all. Time to raise it up.
taglius raises to 240
montanared calls 210
He calls - not ready to go away yet. Any chance he's got a boat right now? (A5/A6).

*** RIVER *** [5s Ac 6c Ad] [6h]
And the board pairs, nullifying my kicker. My K loses all value.
montanared has 15 seconds left to act
montanared bets 420
pretty sure we're tied here
taglius calls 420

*** SHOW DOWN ***
montanared shows [Ah Jh] a full house, Aces full of Sixes
taglius shows [As Kc] a full house, Aces full of Sixes
I had him the whole time. Lucky river counterfeits my kicker and we tie the pot.
montanared ties for the pot (938) with a full house, Aces full of Sixes
taglius ties for the pot (937) with a full house, Aces full of Sixes

Little hands like this can spell success/failure. If that 6 doesn't come on the river, I outkick
montanared and move up to first place in the tourney. Instead, we tie and I end up where I started. I a later hand I raise it up, get called, hit nothing, c-bet, get called, then give it up and get knocked down to 1100. From there is tighten-up mode, then desperation mode, then I get knocked out in a race (me AQ, him KJ, J comes).

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