Sunday, September 12, 2010

what would you do? Trip kings on river facing shove

An Ok session tonight - in the black for 30 BB. Better than most of my sessions lately. Do you call this river?

Converted by a herd of feral cows
HEM/Full Tilt NL Hold'em $0.05/$0.10 - 9 players

BB: $3.21
UTG: $1.65
UTG+1: $3.91
MP: $17.57
MP2: $10.00
HJ: $7.30
CO: $10.58 only 29 hands, 14/7/infinite aggression. 50% steal%
Button: $35.95
SB: $11.74 (Hero)

Preflop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with (9 players)
5 folds, CO raises to $0.40, Button folds, Hero calls $0.35, BB folds

Flop: ($0.90) (2 players)
Hero bets $0.50, CO calls $0.50

Turn: ($1.90) (2 players)
Hero bets $1.10, CO calls $1.10

River: ($4.10) (2 players)
Hero bets $3.50, CO raises to $8.58,

Hero does what.

Hero calls $5.08

CO showed ,
Hero showed ,
CO won $19.85

I called. No flushes out there. Only TJ, the sets, and KQ. Maybe K9 too from a blind stealing. I guess you could argue that I'm not beating much of his value range unless he's a bad player that coan't fold AA or QJ here.

This might be one of the more common weaknesses of players - avoiding the accelerator as your hand improves on the turn and then again on the river. The poker-drenaline rushes into your head, you think things like "yes! I caught him with runner-runner! Good things can happen to good people!". Then you get stacked and see you were dead on every street.

I had 3.1 odds on the river. Am I good 25% of the time?

Despite this thrashing, I stuck to solid play and took down some small and medium pots, overcame the deficit, and ended up to the positive.


The Poker Meister said...

Here are my thoughts: First, he "luckily" outplayed you, because that King doesn't hit the river and I think you can get away from the hand... or the very least, you check / call the river.

Second, river bluff raises are fairly rare (or maybe I'm just ignorant and folding to river raises too often :-) ).

Third, this board sets up perfectly for a JT-type hand, or a set who plans on raising the turn but becomes scared of the turned straight. TBH, I'm surprised that the CO didn't try to get more money in on the flop or turn...

Fourth, I think most of the time, you're paying off the river raise with your running trips.

Finally, why no 3bet to the CO steal? I'd have no problem trying to get it in PF if you get into a raising war. Your call potentially invites a BB call, seeing the flop 3-way. You'd always rather see flops HU.

Forrest Gump said...

Snap call fist-pump on the river. He spring to life on the river most times you're out-kicking worse trips.

Interesting line preflop though. Why smooth call then lead out?