Wednesday, October 6, 2010

The key to life, Bet/Fold

Bet/Fold. Sometimes it's that easy. This hand is a loss of 18 big blinds.

This converter is going to be a cash cow...
HEM/Full Tilt NL Hold'em $0.05/$0.10 - 9 players

Button: $7.88
SB: $14.68 52/2 after 101 hands. Aggr. 1.4. Calling station supreme.
BB: $21.14
UTG: $3.50
UTG+1: $12.21
MP: $4.24
MP2: $3.40
HJ: $3.50
CO: $17.29 (Hero)

Preflop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with (9 players)
5 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, Button folds, SB calls $0.25, BB folds

Flop: ($0.70) (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.45, SB calls $0.45
Top pair, top kicker, yucky board. Resist the urge to chicken out on the yucky board. This player will call with worse. Bet.

Turn: ($1.60) (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.05, SB raises to $2.10, Hero folds
Any doubt that I'm still ahead in this hand? 2 straight draws out there, and a flush draw. He might be bad enough to think two pair is the nuts here, against me it is. Easy fold.

Here's a very similar hand.

Feral Cow Poker Hand Converter
HEM/Full Tilt NL Hold'em $0.05/$0.10 - 9 players

CO: $10.00
Button: $17.38
SB: $10.00
BB: $10.00
UTG: $6.74
UTG+1: $4.25
MP: $10.07 (Hero)
MP2: $20.37 44/23 after 48 hands. 1.4 aggression factor
HJ: $21.84

Preflop: ($0.15) Hero is MP with (9 players)
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.35, MP2 calls $0.35, 5 folds

Flop: ($0.85) (2 players)
Hero bets $0.40, MP2 calls $0.40
Similarly yucky board, no straight draw this time. Bet for value.

Turn: ($1.65) (2 players)
Could villain have a ten? Sure. He could also have A5. Bet for value.

Hero bets $0.90, MP2 folds
Villain folds. Guess he believed me finally.


Forrest Gump said...

There's a quote I read from Sklanksy that's stuck with me which goes "Calling is almost always the wrong decision". I'm gradually coming around to his thinking on this.

Poker J said...

Why are you min open raising preflop with a fish in the blinds? Get as much money in now as you can.

Just another line to think about.

If you know he will probably call the flop, bet more on the flop. Then, check the turn to open his range to bluffs on the river. Then, for the same amount as you bet/fold on the turn you can bluff catch the river. If he bombs the river, you can fold sometimes.